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War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International ~ War and Chance analyzes the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty in international affairs. It explains how the most important kinds of uncertainty in international politics are inherently subjective, and yet how scholars, practitioners, and pundits can still debate these issues in clear and structured ways. Altogether, the book shows how foreign policy analysts can assess .
War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International ~ In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent .
War and Chance - Jeffrey A. Friedman - Oxford University Press ~ War and Chance Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics Jeffrey A. Friedman Bridging the Gap. Provides the most comprehensive analysis to date of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty in international affairs
War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International ~ Jeffrey A. Friedman, War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics, Oxford University Pressâs Bridging the Gap series, 2019.
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War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International ~ War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics By Jeffrey A. Friedman Oxford University Press 248pp, ÂŁ22.99 ISBN 9780190938024
Publications / Jeffrey A. Friedman ~ Jeffrey A. Friedman, War and Chance: Assessing Probability in International Politics (New York: Oxford University Press, 2019).Published through Oxfordâs âBridging the Gapâ series of policy-relevant scholarship [introduction, ].War and Chance shows how foreign policy officials often avoid assessing uncertainty and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making.
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Jeffrey A. Friedman / Associate Professor of Government ~ My book, War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics was published by Oxford University Pressâs Bridging the Gap series and received the 2020 Peter Katzenstein Book Prize. My research has also been published by the American Journal of Political Science, International Organization, International Security, International Studies Quarterly, Intelligence and National Security .
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Prise de décision - BnF ~ Livres (1 324) Le bon moment (2020) Ethics . War and chance (2019) Le bon moment (2019) Ignorance and uncertainty (2019) Making . The politics of expertise in international organizations (2017) La prise de décision agile (2017) .
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